Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000966 0.001105 0.001245 0.001395 0.001551 0.001709 0.001879
2026-02-08 0.000762 0.000963 0.001171 0.001401 0.001646 0.001897 0.002173
2026-02-15 0.000609 0.000856 0.001120 0.001418 0.001741 0.002077 0.002451
2026-02-22 0.000492 0.000774 0.001086 0.001445 0.001841 0.002258 0.002725
2026-03-01 0.000373 0.000677 0.001025 0.001435 0.001895 0.002385 0.002938
2026-03-08 0.000262 0.000574 0.000949 0.001402 0.001918 0.002473 0.003106
2026-03-15 0.000193 0.000513 0.000916 0.001414 0.001986 0.002608 0.003321
2026-03-22 0.000127 0.000447 0.000870 0.001405 0.002029 0.002711 0.003498
2026-03-29 0.000087 0.000407 0.000854 0.001429 0.002106 0.002851 0.003713
2026-04-05 0.000046 0.000353 0.000814 0.001422 0.002144 0.002945 0.003877
2026-04-12 0.000011 0.000290 0.000756 0.001388 0.002149 0.003000 0.003994
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000227 0.000692 0.001343 0.002139 0.003034 0.004086
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000167 0.000635 0.001319 0.002171 0.003138 0.004280
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000124 0.000600 0.001323 0.002236 0.003280 0.004518
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000092 0.000574 0.001338 0.002314 0.003436 0.004773
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000067 0.000558 0.001363 0.002404 0.003607 0.005044
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000037 0.000518 0.001354 0.002449 0.003725 0.005254
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000010 0.000465 0.001321 0.002464 0.003805 0.005421
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000001 0.000443 0.001332 0.002532 0.003946 0.005655
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000410 0.001323 0.002573 0.004055 0.005851
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000399 0.001346 0.002654 0.004210 0.006098
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.000370 0.001339 0.002695 0.004316 0.006288
2026-07-05 NaN NaN 0.000327 0.001306 0.002700 0.004378 0.006427